Preparing lazy development – Republic

the pace of global economic growth last year was the weakest from the recession in 2009. According to world Bank estimates, global GDP increased by only 2.3 percent. In the near future the situation will improve, but remains weaker than before the crisis to eight years, predicts the Washington establishment, in the latest edition of the report “Global Economic Prospects”.

In 2017. world GDP increase is 2.7%., a year later, 2.9 percent. So promises by 2019. It forecasts the minimum is lower than those that the world Bank formulated in the previous report, in the middle of last year.

Hope Trumpie

this year, the improved situation in the world must be the result, in particular, accelerate the growth of the American economy and return to the path of growth of Brazil and Russia, who are behind two years of recession. The U.S. forecasts suggesting GDP growth of 2.2 percent. this year and 2.1 percent. in 2018, do not consider the effects of weakening fiscal policy, zapowiadanego through the local elected President of Donald trump. If his administration lowered taxes in accordance with the electoral system promises, the us GDP growth may, according to economists, the world Bank achieved in 2017. even 2.5 per cent., and in 2018. closer to 3%. A tax reduction is niejedyne ideas trump on zdynamizowanie world’s largest economy. “A more expansionary fiscal policy can accelerate the growth of the domestic and world economy. Changes in the trade policy of the United States and other areas, can however, these positive effects to offset,” said Ayhan Kose, lead author of the report, the world Bank, referring to protekcjonistycznych aspirations of Donald trump.

an uncertain future

the Prospects for the Eurozone, the main trading partner of Poland, are less promising than the United States. According to the world Bank, GDP Eurolandu will increase in 2017. 1.5 percent, at the cost of 1.6 per cent. in 2016. and about 2 percent. the year before that. This, in particular, the impact of the expiration of the positive effects of lower oil prices on consumer spending of the Europeans.

the world Bank Economists expect that the recovery in world trade will accelerate the growth of exports from Eurolandu. This is good news for Poland, because our export is closely linked with the German.

According to the Washington-based institutions Poland is waiting for this year, the acceleration of GDP growth to 3.1 percent, with estimates of 2.5%. in 2016. In October, the world Bank expected growth of GDP in 2017. by 3.4 percent. Now it is expected that this growth rate Russia will reach in 2019.

this forecast optimistic. Many economists warn that the demographic of the reason our economy was losing momentum. According to rating Agency Standard & Poor’s, which is their latest forecasts also presented on Tuesday, Poland’s GDP this year will grow by 3.2 per cent., but to 2019 growth to come back to 3 percent.