Thursday, November 27, 2014

WSE: Polish data and sentiment on Wall Street in the center of attention – Money.pl

WSE: Polish data and sentiment on Wall Street in the center of attention – Money.pl

2014-11-27 22:35

WSE: Polish data and sentiment on Wall Street in the center of attention

Przemysław Lawrowski , an analyst Money.pl
 
 Passionate about financial markets. Submit a long-term investment over short-term speculation. Followers of fundamental analysis, however, does not despise information stemming from technical analysis. Adheres to the theory that the investment decisions emotions are bad counselor.

Author: Przemysław Lawrowski

Data from Japan and the Polish GDP, are only some of the information that will appear in the upcoming session. WSE is a chance for growth, but in the second part of the day will be important reaction of investors on Wall Street for what has happened on Thursday on the market.

On the stock market on Thursday there has not been much. Volatility of stock market indices in Europe was relatively small, and a turnover of less than usual. Contributed to the Americans, who on Thursday had the day off. On Friday, though they will return, but the session will last shorter. Continuous trading will be shortened by two hours.

Emotion on European stock exchanges will be present on Friday afternoon. Although data from the US do not appear, but Wall Street investors will react to what has happened in their absence. Under pressure can be found fuel companies. This in turn will affect the mood in Europe.

For this reason, on Friday, still the center of attention will be the oil market, which strongly taniała Thursday after the OPEC decision. As it turned out, the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries will not reduce output. The price of oil is currently on a four-year minimums.

Hard decision will affect the economies of which a large part of the GDP comes from the production and export of this commodity. In addition to the countries belonging to the organization, such as Saudi Arabia, the problems in this regard may also Russia.

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Among Friday’s information, the information will appear first in Japan. We will get there one of the most important economic indicators. There will be readings of inflation (forecast: 2.9 percent year on year), unemployment rate (forecast: 3.6 percent), retail (forecast 1.2 percent year on year) and industrial production (forecast: -0.6 percent month-to-month). The key question is whether they will be as weak as last week’s reading of GDP for the third quarter.

They cover only the period of October and not the third quarter, but you can not hide, however, that it may be weaker than expected.

Even before noon see the data that will have a greater impact on the Warsaw Stock Exchange. At 8:00 am will be the publication of changes in German retail sales for October. According to analysts, it compared the previous month, it will grow by 1.1 percent.

An important part of the day will be the data of the Central Statistical Office (10:00) on the final reading of GDP for the third quarter. Sam preliminary reading which appeared two weeks ago was a surprise. Now, major changes in relation to the initial forecasts and will not be read (we expected 3.3 percent year on year).

An hour later, you will get a reading on the unemployment rate in the euro area. Analysts expect a level of 11.5 percent, or as much as a month earlier.

The market already waiting for next week’s meeting of the MPC and the ECB. On Thursday, Mario Draghi said that the buy-back program may be extended to new assets, if the existing measures prove insufficient.

WIG20 has a chance on Friday to further increase, however, the local peak at 2440 points from Monday beats .

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