Also, the Ministry of Labor estimated that in February, the unemployment rate was 12 per cent., Which is the same as in January.
This is the same as in January, but a year ago, in February, the unemployment rate was 13.9 percent – on an annual basis so we have a significant decline in unemployment and the labor market has seen a revival spring – explains Monika Jacket, chief economist Postbank. – In previous years, usually in this period, the unemployment rate has strongly increased. The number of unemployed increased compared to January, only about a hundred people, and it is also the result significantly better than in recent years. March is the month in which the works are moving full steam ahead in construction, agriculture, horticulture, so the unemployment rate should already be lower, in the next months will continue to decline. There is a good chance that in the summer months, the unemployment rate is below 10 percent. At this time, there are also chances that at the end of this year for the first time since 2008. The unemployment rate will be single-digit level – predicts economist.
Minister of Labour: before us optimistic months
Labour Minister Wladyslaw Kosiniak- Kamysz expressed confidence that the March unemployment rate is now lower. He noted that the labor market will be encouraged not only by beginning with seasonal work, but also the rate of economic growth, promote job creation by employers.
He stressed that before us optimistic months and moving towards a single-digit unemployment rate.
According to GUS, the number of unemployed in February 2015 was 1 million 918.7 thousand. people (including 969 thousand. women), and was higher than a month ago about 100 people.
In annual terms, the number of unemployed fell by 337.2 thousand. people – said the CSO.
GUS: unemployment rose in January to 12 percent & gt; & gt; & gt;
Jacek Męcina, Deputy Minister of Labour and Social Policy: This year offers of employment will be more than willing.
Source: Newseria
The chief economist at Societe Generale bank Jaroslaw Janecki said that this means that the situation on the labor market improves. Expert explains that the lack of increase in unemployment in the winter is a phenomenon unique and results from the observed recovery in the labor market.
Jaroslaw Janecki adds that in the coming months, the number of people out of work will fall and the holiday period, unemployment may reach less than 10 percent.
The improvement in the economy is reflected in the labor market
The improvement of the economic situation translates into more and more into the labor market. Despite a seasonal increase in unemployment the number of people out of work falling on an annual basis. The most popular are highly skilled professionals from the IT sector and manufacturing. May be a bit more difficult to those who are waiting to take seasonal work in agriculture. The slowdown may be due to problems caused by the Russian embargo sector.
– In the labor market, we see a systematic decline in unemployment. According to the Ministry of Labour and Minister of Kosiniak-Kamysz forecast decline hovering around 9.5 percent. You can actually see a recovery in the labor market and thus a systematic decline in unemployment – the news agency says Newseria Business Marek Jurkiewicz, CEO infoPraca recruitment service.
Source: Newseria
Central Statistical Office reported that in January, the unemployment rate was 12 per cent., which is an increase compared to December, but a significant decrease in annual terms (14 percent.). According to forecasts, the labor department in February, unemployment was at the same level as in January.
In the employment offices at the end of January 1919.5 thousand were registered. people. Young people up to 24 years of age accounted for 24.5 per cent. the total number of newly registered (before the month – 26.8 per cent .; the year before – 25.7 percent.). Among the graduates (of up to 12 months from the end of study), this percentage was 7.9 percent. newly registered (in the previous month – 8.1 per cent .; in January 2014. – 9.0 per cent.).
– Unemployment will slowly decline. Its level at the end of 2015 years may be in the vicinity of 10-10.5 percent. – Predicts Jurkiewicz. – We are seeing a decrease in unemployment among young people between 20 and 24 years of age, it is strongly decreases the number of unemployed in the range of 50 +.
Two trends will nominate the labor market
According to him, in 2015 the labor market will be particularly evident two trends. The first concerns the growing demand for highly skilled workers (eg. In the production centers, shared services and IT), the second – the possible perturbations in the segment of seasonal work, especially in agriculture. Jurkiewicz does not rule out that unemployment in the summer does not drop significantly due to lower demand in agriculture for seasonal workers. This is the result of problems of farmers, which are caused by the Russian embargo. Jurkiewicz stresses that everything will depend on the development of the geopolitical situation.
– We can see an increasing number of applications from the Ukrainian side, which also involves the geopolitical – highlights Marek Jurkiewicz. -No I see at the moment, however, no threat of Ukrainian workers Polish workers. Rather, take it on the basis of complementarity than competition.
The largest is the demand for IT professionals
In his opinion at the moment is the greatest labor market demand for specialists IT, production workers (highly specialized technical areas) and people associated with BPO centers, especially the unique knowledge of foreign languages, such as Romanian, Norwegian.
– The best currently paying IT and telecommunications – says CEO infoPraca. – In the case of production stations all depends on the region and specialization.
Jurkiewicz draws attention to the development of economic zones (including an increase in employment within them), and recalls that in 2014 in the SEZ invested record resources, especially from foreign investors.
– If you look at the big urban centers, we see that developing shared service centers in the Tricity, Łódź, Kraków, now also come to this Katowice. These are areas that have quite a high demand for workers – Jurkiewicz notes.
According to the Association of Business Service Leaders (ABSL) in January 2015. In the business services sector employed 130 thousand. people, and by the end of employment can find another 30 thousand. people.
By Jurkiewicz long-term unemployment will decline. According to Eurostat data from January 2007. January 2015. Unemployment in Poland fell faster than in other EU countries (faster decrease occurred only in Germany), which is the indicator declined in this period from 11.3 to 8.0 per cent . (Calculated by Eurostat).
– The downward trend will be two important factors. First, the increase in salaries, because we are far behind Western countries and other EU countries. Secondly, we will have a strong focus on attracting candidates – summarizes the expert.
IAR / Newseria, bless
No comments:
Post a Comment