Warsaw, 04.14.2015 (ISBnews) – In Poland, 2009-2014 – current electricity supplies were secured at a level corresponding to the demand, assesses the Supreme Chamber of Control (NIK). Currently operating power generation sources installed in the National Power System is approx. 38 GW, with a maximum demand of approx. 28 GW, said Chamber.
“According to forecasts, the maximum power demand will grow to about 40 GW in 2035. And 41-42 GW in the next 15 years. Rising will also demand for electricity with approx. 159 TWh in 2015. To 230 TWh in 2030. In the 2050., of the existing power generating resource-producing units will operate only 5 GW of power (mainly hydropower). Acquisition of electricity after 2035 will therefore be possible only in the blocks, which will be developed, “- reads the information on the results of NIK in ensuring capacity in conventional electric power.In the years 2020-2035 should be the elimination of generation units built in the 70-ties. Today, energy producers declare that in the years 2014-2028 will undertake the construction of new power sources with 10.5 GW, for approx. 54 billion zł and modernization of existing sources, which requires investment of approx. 12 billion zł.
“Long-term forecasts and assume power balances the start of 2025. Supply of electricity from nuclear power. This assumption is, according to high-risk SCC further delay (originally expected that it will be 2020)” – reads further.
Wedłuh NIK, energy security, in the longer term, adversely affected by the lack of systemic instruments by which state authorities can influence the behavior of power generators. In 2010-2014, the entrepreneur resigned from the construction of 10 new power generating units planned to be connected to the national grid – because of too much regulatory risk and price.
“The Minister of Economy, contrary to the obligation resulting from the Energy Law, has developed within the required time Polish Energy Policy. The Minister of Economy has not prepared the Action Programme for the years after 2012. Which is part of the Energy Policy” – the Board of.
She stressed, however, that the Minister of Economy, President of the Energy Regulatory Office (ERO) and the Polish Power Grid Company properly monitor the supply of electricity, analyzed and evaluated the plans of manufacturers supply security. With a credible monitoring and analysis of network operation diagnosed that there is a risk of periodic shortages of reserve capacity during peak demand in the years 2015-2018. NIK assessed as intentional remedial action taken by the PSE, for reducing the risk of periodic shortages of power in the short term.
“In the next few years is provided, according to the SCC, the construction of new sources to ensure a sufficient supply of energy. By 2020, it is necessary to build a new system generation sources with a total capacity of 6-7 GW. In the years 2014 to 2018 will be liquidated existing sources with a total capacity of 6.4 GW, and in the corresponding period of the rise of a new power source at least 4.8 GW (in optimistic variants declared plans expansion of generation sources approx. 7.2 GW) “- also written in the material.
(ISBnews)
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