– in 2016. Improvement of the situation on the labor market may be withheld because of uncertainty about the impact of planned regulations . We can also expect increasing pressure on raising salaries – says Grzegorz Baczewski, director of the department of social dialogue and labor relations Confederation of Leviathan.
According to the expert, most announced by the government changes, namely: the introduction of minimum hourly wage in civil contracts of 12 zł / h, increase the minimum wage to 50 percent. the average wage, full oskładkowanie all contracts and self-employment, elimination of civil agreements – may be unfavorable for the labor market, as this will increase labor costs.
So argues Dr. Baczewski, this will mean reducing the number of low-paid jobs. For example, in the security industry, introduced from 1 January 2016. Oskładkowania increase in commission contracts, meant that companies invest eg. In monitoring systems limiting the number of employees. – However, if you retain the pace of economic growth should not lead to a complete reversal of the positive trend in macroeconomic perspective – explains the expert Leviathan.
Throughout 2016, we can, however, expect increasing pressure on wage growth – predicts expert the Leviathan. With increasing employment followed by a continuous increase in the demand for labor and the labor supply reserves are shrinking.
Employers will be afraid of losing good skilled workers, so some of them offer them a raise. For better offers may rely primarily those newly employed, that is, where it will be profitable to change jobs. Wage growth will proceed at a level well above 4 percent in real terms. year on year.
The accelerated wage growth will, however, resulted not only for market reasons. This trend will also affect the accelerated growth of the minimum wage (to the level of 1850 zł gross) and oskładkowanie contract orders. These amendments entered into force on 1 January 2016.
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