– The British may decide under the influence of various factors, eg. A shocking events such as the terrorist attack somewhere near, under the influence of a humanitarian disaster in the English Channel or the issue of transparency of revenue politicians – explains the deputy head of the Foreign Ministry Konrad Szymanski.
Brexit would bring at least a few threats. First Poles Islands, who are not yet holders of British passports, they would lose the protection resulting from labor laws and the freedom of movement of persons. – Hundreds of thousands of people will depend only on the provisions enacted in the House of Commons – explains Szymanski. It means so much that in the long term position may become weaker, especially in the context of the aspirations of London to cuts in entitlements and rights to benefits. This may increase the tendency to apply for citizenship, which would be bad for the Polish, because it would reduce the likelihood of return to the country. Today, the Foreign Ministry does not know how many Poles have both Polish and British passport.
Difficult to predict the consequences would be brexitu for our business. The most important would be the way in which there would be a divorce. The best option is a velvet divorce and adoption of a model of cooperation with the EU in the fashion of Norwegian or Swiss. Our company would not have the time to worry about non-tariff barriers, eg. Food requirements. – It is easy to control its access to the market, because it is a complex product composed of many components. Just that the British prohibit one of them. Industry to adapt, but it will mean the lack of opportunities to sell food to time to adapt and additional costs – clarifies expert Confederation Lewiatan Dr Margaret Starczewska-Krzysztoszek.
If there was a break with a bang, entrepreneurs They can wait costs related matters. Business, however, believes the British pragmatism and does not take seriously this scenario. – The more I would hesitate temporary difficulties in the financial markets triggered panic – fluctuations in the Polish zloty and the pound – than a real impact on trade – estimated vice president of the National Chamber of Commerce Marek Kłoczko.
Another shadow brexitu to losses in EU budget, which will need to be supplemented by increasing the contributions of other countries to balance or cutting spending. Targeting will be the biggest beneficiaries, including Poland. – Countries benefiting from cohesion policy will be available to cut the cake – says Szymanski. And the current zaognieniu Warsaw relations with Brussels could particularly hit us. The question is when, from another perspective, the budget is now. – I do not think brexit could roll so fast. The revision in the budget perspective technically not possible. I do not think that the British did not obey the commitments by 2020. Although I can not rule it out – emphasizes Janusz Lewandowski, former commissioner. Budget.
Output Britain weakened the EU. – Increase the tilt toward protectionism, less faith in the common market, lower trade openness, less openness to the United States. Brexit would be too dangerous a precedent showing that the output of the EU is the way of settling problems. Strengthen the tendency to unsealing the West, which is unfavorable for Warsaw – highlights Konrad Szymanski.
All of these issues, in addition to the deterioration of the situation in the Polish EU, would have affected the security of the entire region. The United Kingdom is one of those EU countries that look to Russia without sentiments and are in favor of tough policy toward the Kremlin. Therefore, policy scenarios, which puts Russia, it won Donald Trump in the US and the UK out of the EU. – The strength of Europe is its scale and unity, regardless of the legal basis of this unity. And this directly affects the strength and unity of the West in important dimensions of world politics – emphasizes Szymanski. The Russians are hoping that brexit strengthen their position in the game to Europe. For now, an argument about Brexit Poland uses. Because it is so important – said “counterintelligence” RMF FM MEP Jaroslaw Walesa – a moment that turns the eyes of Brussels from our troubles with the Court.
About brexicie decide measures passed “under the table”? – Read on Forsal.pl
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