2014-10-06 22:15 Commentator economic developments and exchange. Followers of technical analysis, fundamental research supported by the financial situation of companies and rational approach to personal finance. Author: Paul Zawadzki 
excellent, completed over rates increases in the major indexes, Friday’s session on Wall Street on Monday, strength and willingness to buy just enough action for the first minutes of trade. Later, at an empty calendar publication of the American economy, actively playing joined seller. For a stronger realization of profits overseas does not happen, but all the major indexes rustic session ended in the red.
Above the line to the closing price managed to survive while the most important indices of the Warsaw Stock Exchange. However, although it was not especially difficult in the case of index WIG50 and WIG250 (both session closed in around their daily maxima), it’s hard not to get the impression that the 0.12-percent appreciation WIG20 was fought for the remnants of the forces of a small group of investors. Reaching 420 million zlotys turns blue chips fact show that many trade was not interested.
Much better in this respect does not have to be on Tuesday, because apart from industrial production in Germany or the United Kingdom, a calendar of important publications macro is practically empty. Attract the attention of investors, above all the first-mentioned indicators. Not because it will be published before the opening of trading, but because investors will look at it through the prism of heavily disappointing, the weakest since 2009, data on industrial orders in Germany.
The Tuesday session will also further the a sign of a lack of relevant data from the United States economy. When it comes to information from overseas, which may affect the decisions of listed players is worth noting two public speeches of heads of the Fed from Minneapolis and New York. Excellent recent data from the American labor market and proximity to the Fed meeting, during which it is completely extinguished QE3 program, make that these are now important points program for investors.
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On Tuesday starts with the meeting of the Monetary Policy Council. Although its results will be announced on Wednesday, is already known that it will be one of the highlights of the week. According to the forecasts of economists, on Wednesday, the MPC will cut interest rates in Poland by 25 basis points, from 2.5 to 2.25 percent. At the same step – in their opinion – will follow also in November. That’s the lowest levels in history, although for some time it is already expected by the market.
For this reason, the decision should not cause sudden movements on the WSE. Does not change the fact that lower interest rates are good news for the holders of the shares. Lower financing costs are higher corporate profits and relatively low interest rates on bank deposits is a factor that can lead some Poles to transfer their savings to investment funds. More than blue chips should benefit from this, however, the company’s medium and small.
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