2014-10-05 19:30 Przemysław Ławrowski , an analyst Money.pl Author: Przemysław Ławrowski 
Passionate about financial markets. Submit a long-term investment than short-term speculation. Followers of fundamental analysis, but does not despise the information stemming from technical analysis. He confesses theory that investment decisions emotions are bad counselor.
Although certainly the most important information this week will be the Monetary Policy Council decision on interest rates It can not lose sight of the other factors. On Wednesday we will, as always, important, minutes of the meeting of the American council deciding on monetary policy. Week starts on the Stock Exchange will be dictated by the moods while in Europe, which in the first part of the session should be fairly optimistic because of the previous trading day on the stock exchange in the United States.
A very good Friday mood on Wall Street, due to optimistic data from the American labor market, growth will give boost to European stock markets at the start of a new week.
Monday’s calendar is not full of many important publications. Note the order in German industry. Analysts expect strong decline in this indicator. The market can therefore respond to this information falls. In addition, Eurostat will give data on import prices in the industry in August.
When it comes to factors originating in Germany, in the new week, there will be also other publications related to the economy. On Wednesday planned reading of industrial production, and on Thursday the level of the foreign trade balance.
In the middle of the week will be published minutes of the FOMC meeting. This will be especially interesting in the context of American interest rates. The last drop in unemployment below 6 percent may slightly change the point of view of the local body.
Although certainly the most important information this week will be the decision …
Increasingly, banknotes are forged on home printers.
US unemployment rate fell below 6 percent for the first time since 2008 years.
In the case of information of individual companies, worth noting are the CCC and PZU. Because they pay their shareholders. In turn, on Monday at the main market debut Polwax. The company is engaged in the production and distribution of paraffin and paraffin waxes. The resulting extract from the structures of Lotos.
What will MPC
The most important decision coming week for investors from the Warsaw Stock Exchange, is decision on interest rates. On Tuesday will begin a two-day meeting of the Monetary Policy Council, and on Wednesday we will decide on this important economic issue. The only question is whether the MPC should take such a step to gain? Former Finance Minister Grzegorz Kolodko is of the opinion that the reduction must be substantial. There seems, however the exact date.
lower interest is also the CEO of BNP Paribas Poland. As far as the council members themselves, this is how it usually happens opinions are divided. It can not therefore be sure whether this reduction will take place. However, as announced in mid-September Elzbieta Chojna-Duch, the MPC will discuss in October on whether to lower interest rates by 25, or maybe 50 basis points.
The decrease in the cost of money in the Polish economy indicate the last economic data. In particular, this applies to inflation, which is a more important determinant of activity MPC. The point inflation target of 2.5 percent of the variation in the up or down by one percentage point. In August, she was (measured by the consumer price index CPI) -0.3 percent year on year. This means that prices have fallen on an annual basis. You can see, therefore, that much we move away from monetary policy. But you must take into account that during the holiday season always falling prices.
The additional impulse to the drop in prices gave lower crude oil prices and the Russian embargo on Polish vegetables and fruits. Had slightly higher levels of core inflation reading, which indicates an increase in the price of excluding some items. Further details in this respect (for September) will be published on 15 October.
What is market
Many investors for a long time expect lower interest rates. Any reduction may translate into a weakening of the Polish currency. At the moment, for one euro you have to pay 4,18 zł, and the dollar 3.34 zł. In case the currency of the European community have come to the factors related to the program of ABS and buying corporate bonds.
WSE but would have a chance to re-achieve the level of 2500 points. Cheaper money is in theory a better chance for the development of companies, which is reflected in the share price.
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