Wednesday, August 19, 2015

CSO: in July, employment increased by 0.9 percent. Annualised – Polish Radio

                             In June, registered at labor offices was 622,300 million unemployed – GUS has said in a statement. Unemployment stood at 10.3 percent. In the last month was 10.8 percent. So rapid decline in unemployment in Poland has not been for years – said the Labour Minister Wladyslaw Kosiniak- – Kamysz.
                         

Today’s CSO data on unemployment is better than it appeared from the labor ministry estimates, which predicted decline in unemployment in June to 10.4 percent. The assumptions for the budget for next year, the government adopted that the registered unemployment rate will be in December 2015 years of 10.5 percent. Labour Minister Wladyslaw Kosiniak- – Kamysz repeatedly stressed that hopes to score a single digit this year. Also, labor market experts believe that it is possible immediately after the holidays.

In August, unemployment below 10 percent.

The situation on our labor market continued to improve . The unemployment rate in June was 10 and three-tenths percent. So it fell by five tenths of a percentage point compared to the previous month. And they are very good data from the labor market – says Monika Kurtek chief economist Postbank.

– The number of unemployed fell in June by 80 thousand. The unemployment rate was still in double digits, but looming large on the moment when it finds itself in single digits. Perhaps there will be even July, but in August the unemployment rate should we have to fall to single digits. Currently, the unemployment rate is the lowest since 2009. However, if dropped to below 10 per cent. it will be the lowest level since 2008, ie since the beginning of the global crisis – says an economist.

In June, the registered unemployment stood at 10.3 percent.

In June of 2015. Poland was registered 1 million. 622.3 thousand. Unemployment is 10.3 percent. workforce – said on Thursday the Central Statistical Office.

– At the end of June 2015. The number of unemployed registered in labor offices amounted to 1 million. 622.3 thousand. people (including 841.9 thousand. women) and was lower both compared to last year. month and the corresponding period of the previous. year. Similarly, unemployment rates have been reduced: the unemployed registered in labor offices at the end of June 2015. Constituted 10.3 percent. of economically active population – reported in Thursday’s Communication Office
the end of May 2015. The number of unemployed registered in labor offices amounted to 1 million. 702.1 thousand. people (including 874.2 thousand. women) and was lower than in April by 80.1 thousand. people. The unemployed registered in labor offices at the end of May 2015. Constituted 10.8 percent. the civilian population.

The vast majority of the unemployed who remain in the records of labor offices are people who have worked professionally. At the end of June 2015. It was 1 million 362.4 thousand. (ie. 84 per cent. of the total registered), to 1 million. 425.1 thousand. (83.7 percent.) In May 2015. And 1 million. 581.5 thousand. (82.7 percent.) In June 2014.
In this group, 90.2 thous. persons, ie. 6.6 percent. lost their jobs for reasons related to the workplace. The total number of unemployed 86 per cent. those who are not entitled to unemployment benefits (in May was 86.3 per cent., the year before – 86.8 percent.). In this group, 43.7 percent of the unemployed. He lives in the countryside. Data for the end of June that 212 workplaces declared the release in the near future 25.9 thousand. employees, including public sector 4.5 thousand. people.

Unemployment falls in all Poland

Unemployment declined in all provinces; most in Pomorskie (5.9 percent.), Lower Silesia and Opole (after 5.7 per cent.) and Greater Poland (5.5 percent.). Also in comparison with June 2014. The number of unemployed decreased in all provinces, the largest decline was recorded in the regions of Lower Silesia (20.6 percent.), Wielkopolska (18.2 percent.) Lubuskie (18 percent.) Pomorskie (17.9 percent.) and Opole (17.8 percent.).
According to the Central Statistical Office maintains a large territorial differentiation of unemployment. The highest is in the Warmia and Mazury (16.6 percent.), Kujawsko-Pomorskie (13.8 percent.) West Pomerania (13.7 percent.) Podkarpackie (13.1 percent.) Świętokrzyskie (13 percent.) And Podlasie (12.1 percent.).
The lowest unemployment rate was Wielkopolskie (6.9 percent.), Lesser Poland and Silesia (after 8.8 per cent.) and Mazowieckie (9 percent.). Compared with May, the unemployment rate fell in all provinces; most in Kujawsko-Pomorskie and Warmia-Mazury (0.7 percent.).
employment offices during the month reported a 163.7 thousand. job seekers (about 2.4 thousand. more than in May 2015. and 4,0 thous. more than in June 2014.). Among the newly registered unemployed 133.3 thousand. people, or 81.4 percent. were persons registering again (before the month was 80.2 per cent .; the year before – 80.1 percent ..
Labour offices dysponowały jobs for 93.8 thous. people, whereas before it was a month 85.2 thous., and 72.7 thousand in the previous year.
In June alone, employers submitted 119.9 thousand. jobs to 122,3 thous. in the previous month and 85.3 thous. in the previous year.

“The CSO data on unemployment confirm the recovery in the labor market”

According to the expert Employers of Poland Lukasz Kozlowski, GUS data confirm the extraordinary strength of the recovery in the Polish labor market. This is despite the fact that GDP growth still exceeded 4 percent year-over-year. According to the expert, one-digit unemployment rate is getting closer, and 2016 can no longer be the year of the employee. It is the employer will be heavily sought to employ the right people.
Lukasz Kozlowski pointed out that the results of the study population’s economic activity suggests that the percentage of people actually out of work is no longer only about 1 percentage point higher than in the best time of the year 2008. It also noted that the growing optimism among entrepreneurs who increasingly use accumulated reserves for difficult times.

Later this year, unemployment will drop to 10 percent. or even lower

The June unemployment rate according to the Central Statistical Office amounted to 10.3 percent. This is the lowest level since December 2008. Despite this, the total number of employed in the economy is not growing. The reason is restructuring processes carried out in a number of especially large enterprises and consequently to downsize. However, the unemployment rate should continue to fall.

– The job market recovery observed, but it is unevenly distributed. On the one hand, a systematic decline in the unemployment rate, on the other hand, employment in the sector of large enterprises no longer grow – says the news agency Newseria Investor Rafal Benecki, chief economist at ING Bank Slaski.

Source: Newseria

most work comes in SMEs and agriculture

The largest employment growth is visible in the SME sector and agriculture. Meanwhile, larger companies run restructuring processes, which in this segment we are dealing with redundancies or stagnation.

– Hence the discrepancy in the statistics – falling unemployment and non-growing employment or stabilizing employment in the largest enterprises – explains expert.

According to data from the Central Statistical Office, the unemployment rate in June this year amounted to only 10.3 per cent., which is a much better result than in the same period of the previous year (12 percent.) The total number of people working in the national economy in the first quarter of 2015 years was in turn 15.84 million. The improvement was here only child small. In the corresponding period of 2014 Polish economy employed 15.57 million people.

The job market is getting better

– At the same time we should also pay attention to the lot the dynamics of jobs that have improved significantly compared to last year – says Rafał Benecki. – I think that this year the temporary unemployment touches 10 percent. or falls slightly below this level, then again before the end of the year will rise seasonally in the area 10,2-10,3 percent. Next year should bring further continued improvement in the labor market.

Rafal Benecki expects that the decline in unemployment will continue to the end of the third quarter of this year. Then he will be a slight increase, which will be due to seasonal factors.

– The ongoing improvement in the labor market due course to cyclical factors, from the good economic times demand that companies report on new workers – translators Benecki.

The Economist draws attention to the changes in the conditions and adjusting work. Although most of them are unfavorable for workers, but gives much more freedom to employers in the employment process. Therefore, the recovery in the labor market is seen much more quickly than was apparent in previous cycles.

– On the other hand, on the other hand, the ability to select between workers with low inflation mean that wage growth is quite low – explains the expert ING Bank.

A significant change is also admitted to the job search process private employment agencies. Their presence affects the large increase in jobs reported to state authorities.

– in other words: the current situation, that the decline in unemployment is associated with both cyclical factors, as well as with some structural changes – concludes Benecki.

IAR fko, abo

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