“Il Rottomatore”, that is “Złomiarz” – so called media gave the young mayor of Florence, when in 2010. the message promised to scrap the old party elites, especially in his native centrolewicowej the Democratic Party. Along with his supporters staged in 2012. party of the event “Big Bang”, which was supposed to prepare the replacement pokoleniową. Although Renzi (now 41), lost in 2012. the primaries for the post of Prime Minister, but in February of 2013. took this chair Enricowi Letcie the result wewnątrzpartyjnych roszad.
Great political demand, on both the left and right of the Italians to trim the wings of the old political caste and the simplification of the regime of Italy and he made that Renzi has invested huge political capital on the reform of the Senate. From the beginning, seemed extremely popular with conventional voters. When last spring I attended his Parliament, he is informed about the risk of Renzi threatened to resign in case niezatwierdzenia reform in today’s referendum. But this led to the fact that for a large part of Italians today’s vote is rather plebiscytem government Renziego, not the decision about modification of the body.
Bicameral paralysis
Głosowana today constitutional amendment reduces the number of Italian senators from 315 to 100, replaces them with direct elections is running for the nomination of senators by the regional legislatures from among the mayors and deputies, and also eliminates bicameralismo perfetto, that is a great Italian dwuizbowość (similar in Europe, only Romania). Currently, the Italian Senate and Chamber of Deputies have the same rights, with the approval of governments and budgets. But selected by other rules, so governments sometimes spend only a majority in the Senate that paralyzes the authorities. Reform Renziego turns the Senate into a body primarily Advisory. As well as a bit adamant Italy for the acquisition through Rome some of the powers of the regions.
Renzi has advised this year is also a new appointment to the Chamber of Deputies (not the subject of today’s referendum). Already since 2005. the winning party received a huge bonus – more than half of the chamber, regardless of the number of votes. Now – after werdykcie about niekonstytucyjności while such “distortion of results of elections” – the bonus should be a winning party only when they receive more than 40 percent. votes. If there is no such party, rozpisywana the second round of elections for the two strongest groups. This means umniejszenie privilege the largest party, but in combination with the weakening of the Senate born – according to the opponents of the Prime Minister – the risk of the hegemony of the Democratic Party and its leader Renziego.
Dictatorship! Party Renziego!
– This reform could create a dictatorship! If you win Yes, it is better to leave the country – scare Silvio Berlusconi. 19-year-old Renzi made his debut in the media as a member of “Wheel of fortune” on television, Berlusconi (he won the equivalent of 25 thousand euros), and former Prime Minister the rich man still loves Renziego a kind of respect.
– Renzi is a large winding. This is the number one in the history of the Italian Republic. Much better than me! But this is two times younger, has huge energy and dynamism. Has the power to drive across the country and tell his lies – says Berlusconi before a few days
Beppe Grillo, leader of the largest opposition forces, the Five Star Movement, afraid that after the reforms Renziego will be worse than Pinochet. In turn, Matteo Salvini, League leader in North America, kept before the “new Fidel Castro”. To vote in the “not” encouraged, even the internal opposition in the Democratic Party (PD), which, in turn, she zamienianiem PD, the PDR, that is wodzowską “Partito di Renzi” (Party Renziego). In essence, was about the resumption of the crack between the two currents PD – lewicową chadecją (Renzi) and former eurokomunistami. But this is most likely not motivated by ideological, but purely ambicjonalnym.
about overly grotesque rhetoric of the opposition, Prime Minister Renzi gathers a storm, but he had sown the wind. Specializiruetsya in acute defiantly passwords – and to the Italian critics, and in relation to the European Union, who presses him to talk about fiscal discipline, and with another – does not solidarity for refugees. But Renzi attacks the Union from the perspective of a supporter of deep integration, while the three largest opposition groups are, or at least offer an Italian exit from the Euro zone. Renzi has repeatedly threatened zawetowaniem of the EU budget in 2017. (there is no such legal possibility for siedmiolatki budget 2014-20) to cut EU funds for countries nieprzyjmujących refugees. At almost every EU summit announced that “he had enough of such a Union”.
– Before the referendum needs Renzniemu is to forgive. Seen, need it for Italian voters commented, often with distrust, diplomats of many countries of the EU.
Against Renziemu young and the poor South
If Renzi will lose the referendum is, according to surveys, mostly by the votes of the younger and less prosperous of the Italian South. The reform of labour legislation in 2015. facilitates the release, but at the same time makes the gradual transition from young statements contracts receipts. However, haven’t had time to bring noticeable consequences for ordinary Italians. Unemployment among young reaches 36 percent. Projected for this year economic growth of only 0.8 percent. GDP. And now, perhaps, the worst – Italian banks are sitting on a 360 billion euros of risky loans; the political fuss after a possible resignation Renziego a good idea to scare the investors in the market. Italy is the third economy eurolandu, so Italian crump banking would be very dangerous for other Euro countries.
If the referendum win a “no”, and Renzi actually leave, President Sergio Mattarella will probably try to avoid expedited elections. Instead, he strives to create “government technokratycznego” – among the candidates for the post of Prime Minister should be called: the current Minister of Finance Pier Carlo Padoan, Minister of culture Dario Franceschini, the leader of the Senate Pietro Grasso. But we can not exclude that the President Mattarella entrusted with the mission of creating a new government… to Renziemu.
the aim of the new government to bring Italy back to the regular elections in the first months of 2018. And until that time, another hasty change of the election law. Contrary przedreferendalnemu potential scarring “hegemonią Democratic Party” of the current system with two tours may give the Chamber of Deputies in the hands of antyestablishmentowego Five Star Movement.
See also: No way out, populiści have a little grab. And it all started with us – a specialist in “theme of the day”
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