According to the CEBR (Centre for Economic and Business Research), a British center drawing up the ranking of the World Economic League Table, the first three places are occupied by the US, China and Japan, and fourth place , fifth and sixth – Germany, Britain and France; Italy is the eighth.
CEBR points out that the inclusion of the British economy in the fifth, ahead of France, is within the statistical error in the calculation of GDP because France does not include revenue from drug trafficking, prostitution, pornography and trafficking that British GDP increased by 65 billion pounds (80 billion euros).
Russia, whose economy was in 2013 in eighth place, this year dropped to tenth place, mainly due to the devaluation of the ruble and the decrease in revenues from oil exports oil. Forecasts for 2015 assume the country’s recession and the decline in Russia’s GDP by approx. 4.5 percent. year-on-year.
CEBR believes that the long-term trend still contributes to the strengthening of large emerging markets, so. BRIC (Brazil, Russia, India and China). China will overtake the US by 2025, becoming the largest economy in the world, assuming that current trends persist. It’s about three years earlier than predicted last year’s forecast this resort. For 2024 years India will overtake Japan and become the third economy in the world.
Germany’s economy is to weaken in the long term; It will consist of unfavorable demographic factors and difficulties of the common European currency. After 2030. The German economy will overtake the UK, reversing the trend observed since 1954. This will happen even if there is Scotland from the United Kingdom, but then this would happen about seven years later.
(PG)
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