In June, industrial production rose by 7.6 percent. year on year. This result is much better than forecasts. Analysts have estimated increase of 6.6 percent year on year. Well also present data on retail sales.
An increase of 7.6 percent. This result is 4.8 percentage points better than the reading for May and at the same time much better than expected. Analysts estimated that sold industrial production recorded an increase of 3.9 percent. to 9 percent. year on year. The average market forecast was 6.6 percent year on year.
The increase in sold production was reported as many as 29 out of 34 industries, including in the manufacture of electrical equipment – by 25.1 percent. in comparison with June of last year, machinery and equipment – by 16.3 per cent., of furniture – by 15.2 percent., metal products – by 10.7 percent and of coke and refined petroleum products – by 8.6 percent,
The decline compared with June last year, he appeared in 5 divisions, among others in the production and supply of electricity, gas, steam and air conditioning supply – by 7.4 per cent and in manufacture of beverages – by 5.4 percent.
BZ WBK economist Piotr Bielski no secret that good data on the production did not surprise him. He expected them to good information flowing from the euro zone. The expert also counted on building retail sales data, because studies confirm the positive consumer sentiment.
The latest CSO data also showed an increase in consumption. Retail sales increased by 3.8 percent. per annum compared to 1.8 per cent. in the previous month. This result is better than the cześniejszych analysts’ estimates. The indications ranged from 0.5 percent. to 7.5 percent. growth, at an average of 3.2 percent.
Better-than-expected sales growth occurred despite weaker economic data from the labor market. On Thursday, GUS data – in June, employment in enterprise sector increased by 0.9 percent. year on year, against expectations of 1.1 percent. and 1.1 percent. in May.
According to Ignacy Morawski, chief economist BizBanku, they were weak data. It is the first such decline in employment growth in this cyclical recovery. At the same time the average salary rose in June by 2.5 per cent., Compared to the expected 4 percent. and 3.2 percent. in May. This is the lowest growth rate since August 2013. According to the Moravian “real growth (including price index) is obviously higher than it was.”
Earlier, Central Statistical Office announced inflation reading for June. Prices in Poland in June fell 0.8 percent year on year. This means that we are dealing with deflation for 12 months. But that could soon change, because – according to the latest Inflation Report NBP – in the next year prices will rise by up to 1.5 percent.
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