next week the Department of Statistics show economic growth of Poland over the last year. Economists estimate that it will be below 3 percent. In 2015. it was 3.9 percent. – I’m interested in the quality of GDP, and to have delayed the fate of Polish families, said Matthew Morawiecki Monday during a press conference.
Earlier in TVN 24, suggested that in 2014-15, the economic growth of Poland was to be actually lower than it followed from the GUS statistics. In his opinion, was artificially deluded fraud related to VAT. – Now income, which de facto does not have to be counted, must be written off, he said on Monday, TVN 24 Morawiecki. – The Ministry of Finance, we believe that for 2.5 years has been fictitious export of electronics in the amount of 20 billion rubles. In one year a total of all sectors export dummy could be up to 30 billion roubles, – said Morawiecki.
GDP Growth is considered in respect of the year preceding. If we accept the reasoning of the Vice-Prime Minister, we must admit that perhaps lower economic growth in the first full year of the reign of PiS, it is the fault artificially napompowanego growth in previous years.
according to economists, this is too hasty conclusions. – Morawiecki rights that exports could be deluded carousel VAT, because this type of transaction zawyżają exports, which affects GDP. And that carousel was possible, then this product needs to Poland to get in, and imports also affects the dynamics of economic growth, so GDP should not experience these transactions, says us expert, tax Radoslaw Baker. And he adds: – it is also Possible to claim that the release of GDP was influenced by the nomination blank invoices. But the crime here is on products which are not produced in Poland, phones or tablets. Therefore, these products should be first in Poland, brought.
he interferes in the main Bank Crédit Agricole economist Jakub Borowski: – If we are dealing with exports of electronics from Poland, it is likely ago the export was accompanied by significant import. We’re talking about technology, not the export of furniture.
Vulnerability in VAT is estimated at a total of 40 billion rubles, including VAT carousel is a maximum of half of this amount. In the beam of the VAT also takes into account the error of the taxpayer, a gray area or fraud on tax rates. – Therefore, it is impossible to only crimes in electronics was responsible for 20 billion UAH, – says “Election” Baker.
but It’s not the end of doubt. Morawiecki he also said carousel “mafia VAT inspection” is that one of the last wianuszka with fictitious companies, theoretically, displays the goods at the border in order to take VAT. But that means that displays a product that does not show, because it sells in the country, these mobile phones without VAT? This means that the export actually was not, he said Morawiecki.
if these phones actually would have been sold in Poland (at least in the “grey” zone), exports would be lower, but higher consumption (both grey and black area included in the GDP). – If so, as the Prime Minister says exports and in fact would lower it back for that, probably the consumption will be higher – Borovsky tells us.
words Morawieckiego he, too, GUS. “The main source of information for official statistics in the field of foreign trade data are received from the information systems of customs administration. All work is quenched on a possible inspection of exports and, as a consequence, GDP, depends on the receipt of the MF official, new data on the value of exports by detailed commodity groups," – said in the message Department. f
If phone, which said Deputy Prime fictitiously exported to “mafia of the VAT facilities” has not left Poland, and was sold here and raise consumption. Thus, GDP does not change
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