economic Growth at 4 percent. per year – this is the goal of the administration of Donald trump. The plan is very ambitious. In recent years, the American economy grew, because the tempo in half. In addition, this growth must come at the expense of other countries. Some economists believe that Russia can strongly feel the change in the White House.
Bloomberg reports that the new US President promises the return of the American economy on a path of rapid growth. A plan to create 25 million jobs in the next 10 years will lead to the fact that GDP will grow 4%. a year.
Bloomberg notes that since the crisis in the U.S. the local economy is growing on average by 2.1 percent. Close to this level are also the forecasts of economists surveyed journalists.
in turn, the international Monetary Fund predicts that this year the US GDP will grow by 2.5 per cent., and in 2018. at 2.3 percent. The unemployment rate has meanwhile, to keep the level below 5 percent. In recent times, with economic growth at 4 percent. we have in the United States faced in 2000. Then this result, reached exactly 4.1 percent.
however, while observers of the markets seem to give Donald Trumpowi disputes, credit. Since the announcement of presidential election results, one can observe the strengthening of the U.S. dollar, and continued growth on the new York stock exchange.
During the election campaign, Donald trump stated, in particular, the realization of a very ambitious program of infrastructure, reduction of taxes, creation of new jobs and renegocjowanie trade agreements.
an Important factor that will affect financial markets, cooperation will be Donald trump with the Central Bank of the United States. In January of 2018. end of the term of the current chief of the Fed, Janet Yellen. Its successor will point to Donald trump. Economists expect that this year the Fed will go to two or three increases in interest rates. This further contributes to the strengthening of the dollar.
Immediately after zaprzysiężeniu new President of the USA economists have expressed, however, in the WP money your concerns about its future policies. Concern, first of all, U.S. relations with China. Donald trump has pressured several times on the Chinese Twitter, in respect of currency or trade exchange. Experts point out that the negative consequences of a possible trade war with China would be seen across the global economy.
- the Effect of a possible trade war, listed and this is still the international Monetary Fund. According to his estimates, will lead to a decrease in turnover within five years by 14%., investment by 4.5 percent and GDP around the world will lead to a decrease of 1.5 percent. says Dr. Anton Moss, was Deputy Finance Minister.
Economists also attempt to link the US in Alliance with Russia against China.
As the Professor said Elizabeth Mączyńska, from our point of view, the threat can be US inflation caused by the policies of trump, who will be headed higher interest rates, and this, in turn, will increase global demand for dollars that would have strengthened the exchange rate of this currency.
- Poland belongs to those countries that have the greatest impact on the risks associated with changes in the capital market in the world. Because our indicator for the amount of foreign currency loans plus debts which we have a relative abroad in relation to GDP is at the highest level in the world, higher than in Mexico, Hungary, and Turkey – and even 1/3 of our Treasury debt in foreign currency. Therefore, we, the neighborhood already developing difficulties, Mexico or Turkey, the most prone to all kinds of shocks, like the outflow of capital, emphasizes Anton Moss.
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