According to the information BIEC in June Labour Market Indicator (WRP), informing in advance of future changes in the size of unemployment has reached 77 points in May to 77.1 points.
– Currently, only one variable – the number of people wyrejestrowujących the number of the unemployed due to take up employment is conducive to the growth of the index, and thus predicts a possible rise in the unemployment rate. Other variables indicate an improvement in the labor market, although the scale of the impact is varied, and in recent months, slightly weaker than at the beginning of the year – is written in the commentary BIEC.
The Communication indicates that the registered unemployment rate in June was 8.8 per cent., and after taking into account seasonal factors adopted a value of 9.1 percent. decreasing on a monthly basis by 0.1 percentage point. In June, compared to May of this year., Increased the number of people who wyrejestrowały the number of the unemployed due to take up employment.
– The change, however, was relatively small (approx. 3.5 percent.). Moreover, the absolute size of the outflow remained at a level significantly lower than the rate observed at the beginning of this year., As compared to June 2015. The increase in the number of people who found a job was probably from the increase in the number of jobs led to labor offices. In June, the labor offices registered more than 30 thousand. more jobs than in May. (An increase of 30 per cent.). Moreover, the number of jobs sent to labor offices in June was the highest recorded this year (slightly higher than the record level of 140 thousand. Registered in February.) – Noted.
More and more tender Internet
BIEC pointed out that the Job Barometer showing the number of vacancies available on the internet rose in June. This growth – analysts say the office – was not as spectacular as the one for vacancies, for which information goes to the district labor offices. – This shows the different behavior of different segments of the market vacancies – rated.
Attention was drawn to the fluctuation of the number of persons registering as unemployed. After a big drop (by more than 30 thousand. People) recorded in May. In June the number of newly registered unemployed increased by more than 15 thousand. person (change of 8.5 per cent.). Still a long time, the absolute size of the resource inflow to unemployment hovering around 200 thousand. people.
– The general improvement in the labor market is also reflected in the changes in the structure of the unemployed. Still the number of unemployed made redundant for reasons attributable to the factories. In addition, decreased number of unemployed in a special situation on the labor market. The changes affected mainly unemployed young people, above 50 years of age and long-term unemployed – noted.
Less unemployment benefits
According to BIEC the most recent data (for May this year. ) show continuing downward trend in aggregate amount paid unemployment benefits. Since March, the pace of this decline intensified. It was explained that the amount of benefits paid is derived from the number of unemployed and the percentage entitled to benefit.
– A relatively small proportion of the unemployed is entitled to unemployment benefits, indicating that new jobless claims slightly meet the statutory criteria to receive a benefit . Perhaps at the same time changing the structure of the unemployed in the direction of growth in the number of long-term unemployed, for whom the right to unemployment benefit has expired – written.
According to a study BIEC the overall economic climate in the sector of industrial enterprises in June was assessed positively and slightly better than in may. In addition, managers of enterprises formulated positive about the general economic situation of the country.
– It did not, unfortunately, a decisive bearing on forecasts for the volume of employment. In June this year. again, though slightly outweighed the number of companies forecasting a decrease the number of employees. Exemptions are announced mainly by small units (up to 49 employees), medium and large announce an increase in employment, with the major changes provide the individual large – stated in a press release.
added that in terms of industry the biggest positive changes are expected manufacturers of rubber and plastics and producers of other non-metallic mineral. Announcing job cuts mainly manufacture clothing and computers, electronic and optical products.
PAP, abo
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