Thus, unemployment increased compared to December last year by 0.5 percentage points.
The unemployment rate in January was 10.3 percent – announced today the Central Statistical Office.
Today’s CSO data are consistent with an earlier forecast of the Ministry of Family, Work and Social Policy.
Resort family and work: an increase in unemployment seasonal
As explained head of the department minister Elżbieta Rafalska, winter is a period in which unemployment reasons seasonal increases. This is a consistent trend recorded for many years.
The CSO data shows that at the end of January the number of registered unemployed amounted to 1 million 647 thousand 500 people.
According to the Ministry of Family, Labour and Social policy, in January, the unemployment rate was 10.3 percent. at 9.8 percent. ub.r in December.
In January came more than 84 thousand. registered unemployed
According to GUS, the number of unemployed registered in labor offices at the end of January 2016 amounted to 1 million 647.5 thousand. people and it was higher than in the previous month by 84.2 thousand. people, or 5.4 percent. In annual terms, the number of unemployed fell by 271.1 thousand. people, or 14.1 percent.
Where the highest, and where the lowest unemployment rate?
The CSO data shows that the highest unemployment remained at Warmińsko-Mazurskie (17 percent.), western (14 percent.) and Bydgoszcz (13.9 percent.) and Podkarpackie (13.7 percent.). In turn, the lowest rates were registered in the province. Greater Poland (6.5 percent)., Silesia (8.5 percent.), Mazowieckie (8.7 percent.) and Lesser Poland (8.8 percent.).
GUS reported that in January this year. the number of newly registered unemployed amounted to 223.6 thousand. people, which is less by 3.8 percent. than last month and by 9.6 percent. than last year.
The number of job offers
GUS pointed out that more than a month before and the year before were offers of employment, both in the private sector as well as the public. “Were received 87 thousand. Tenders, ie. By 10.7 per cent. More per month and 20.7 per cent. More per year. Offers from the public sector accounted for 15.6 per cent. Of the total offers (against 7.5 per cent. In December last. year and 17.8 per cent. in the previous year), “- stressed.
At the end of January. – As announced GUS – 171 plants declared release of 11.4 thousand. employees, including 2 thousand. people from the public sector. For comparison, at the end of December last year 169 plants declared release of 18.6 thousand. employees, including 3.4 thousand. from the public sector.
GUS also announced that the unemployment rate calculated according to the Labour Force Survey (LFS) was in the fourth quarter of 2015. 6.9 percent. compared to 7.1 per cent. in the third quarter of last year “The activity rate stood at 56.5 per cent. And was by 0.2 pp. Higher than in the fourth quarter of 2014.” – Added.
New orders in industry in January increased year on year by 17.1 per cent., After an increase of 4 percent. in last month. The index of new orders in industry shows the development of demand for products and services. It is used to assess future production.
Analyst January gentle on the labor market
Back in the unemployment rate to a two-digit level should not be a reason to worry – he writes in his commentary Roman Przasnyski, Chief Analyst Gerda Broker.
As pointed out, is a typical seasonal effect, associated with winter reduced activity in some sectors of the economy.
He added that it is worth while to note that in this respect, in January 2016 r. was the best month in the history of the publication of data on unemployment. Just after the top of the economic boom, in January 2009. Unemployment rate was 10.4 per cent., And in January 2015. Reached 11.9 percent.
The unemployment rate above 10 percent. even in February, then will decrease
Exceeding 10 percent. the unemployment rate can be expected even in February, but in the coming months should be a return to favorable trends in the labor market, observed for two years.
According to preliminary data for the last quarter of last year that increased the ratio activity, reaching 56.5 per cent., and the number of employed amounted to 16 million 276 thousand. people, and so was higher by 258 thousand. than in the fourth quarter of 2014.
The assessment of the economic situation in January, presented by the Central Statistical Office indicate that the continued positive developments in most of the day, however, the dynamics of the improvement was slightly lower. This was, among other things industrial production, which recorded an increase of 1.4 per cent., Construction-assembly, in which case the decrease was 8.6 percent. and retail sales, growing by 3.1 percent. With deflation, the purchasing power of wages increased by 4.7 percent.
Data on unemployment – optimistic
Tuesday’s data, despite a slight increase in unemployment is – opinion experts – optimistic. As noted by Krzysztof Inglot of Work Service, as good data on unemployment in January is not recorded for many years.
“result of 10.3 percent. Optimistic and confirms that GDP growth in the fourth quarter of last year , remaining at the level of 3.9 per cent., has a positive effect on employment. In the first month of the year, unemployment usually reaches its highest annual level. this is the effect of seasonality, as well as periodic blanking of contracts by employers. Despite these circumstances, we observe a positive trend, which indicates maintenance in 2016. market employee “- said
it further noted that unemployment in Poland at the end of 2015. amounted to 9.8 percent. According to Eurostat data, the December result is even better, because it is 7.1 percent. The European Statistical Office measures the unemployment rate as a percentage of the unemployed and actively looking for her in recent weeks and are able to take up employment in the next two weeks. The level is measured in relation to all economically active people.
“Given the European statistics, a single-digit unemployment in Poland has been going on for many months. This is particularly evident in the western regions of the country, where the predominant supply of seats work on the demand of the candidates. this raises major challenges for economic operators, who have great difficulty in staffing vacancies. and we must remember that this situation will be exacerbated because of the demographic situation and decreasing the number of people available in the labor market. It is therefore important is the professional activation of the unemployed and raising the professional qualifications of workers 50+. In this context, alarming are the results of our studies that show that 21 percent. companies do not hire seniors – stressed Inglot.
Head of the department of social dialogue and labor relations Lewiatan Confederation Dr. Gregory Baczewski pointed out that in January, unemployment is usually faster.
“a year ago it grew at the same rate (0.5 pts. proc.), but this year we already have 1.6 points. percent. unemployment rate lower than the year before. It is possible that the increase is due only to seasonal factors. We’ll see about that in February or March, when it turns out that the changes in oskładkowaniu contract orders and an increase of 100 zł minimum wage, as well as numerous unfavorable for employers projects changes in the law do not translate into a decrease in the tendency of companies to hire, “- he said, .
In his commentary highlighted the fact that employers reported to labor offices approx. 85 thousand. tenders employment.
“This is an increase of almost 18 percent. relative to January of the previous year. For now, the entrepreneur still want to increase the level of employment. The simultaneous increase in the number of jobs and the unemployed can attest to the growing difficulties in finding appropriate staff, but it will become clear in the coming months, “- he added
Evaluation of the labor market in January
Earlier resort on the website presented the estimated their situation on the labor market in January.
– Winter is a period in which unemployment for reasons of seasonal increases. it’s become a trend recorded for many years – assessed minister family of Elizabeth Rafalska quoted in a press release. – last year, the labor offices received almost 1.3 million jobs, or nearly 17 per cent. more than in 2014. This reduces the scale of redundancies – she added.
“the market will belong to the employee”
Last year was a record for the Polish labor market. the unemployment rate fell to its lowest level since 2008 and gradually increased wages. Further raising of wages is necessary due to the shortage of workers in certain industries. Employee market should continue also in 2016. Legislative changes may, however, lead to more interest in outsourcing, and in the second half of the year is also a slight increase in unemployment.
– The labor market in 2015 was the employee’s market. This situation will deepen in 2016. The reason is a shortage of employees, more than a million young people went abroad – says in an interview with the agency Newseria Jarosław Adamkiewicz, president of the Association of Employment Agencies.
The unemployment rate at the end of 2,015 years amounted to 9.8 percent.
IAR, PAP / Newseria, Celebrating, jk
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