“At the moment there is no reason for this slight increase construed as a signal the reversal of previously observed positive trends, especially since the components that determine long-term changes to continue to work towards a decline in unemployment. These are mainly variables reflecting the size of the influx of new unemployed number of exemptions for reasons attributable to the employer and the amount of paid unemployment benefits “- according to a new report on BIEC. Index of Labour Market in April.
According to the Bureau somewhat greater uncertainty about the continuation of the positive trends are burdened with information related to the transition from unemployment to employment. BIEC shows that in recent months they have increased volatility, which may be a harbinger of curtailing the existing positive change.
Unemployment rate down
According to BIEC , the registered unemployment rate seasonally adjusted decreased by 0.1 percentage points and amounted to 9.4 percent.
the number of unemployed persons registering at labor offices has stabilized at a relatively low level and almost two years stream the influx of new unemployment hovers around 200 thousand. people during each month – notes BIEC. According to the Bureau is a number similar to that observed in 2008, the registered unemployment rate dropped to around 9 percent. “Given the shift in time and the influence of seasonal factors, there is a chance that this year in the summer months, unemployment and the unemployment rate reached a comparable size” – wywnioskowało.
Office also pointed out that the steadily since the second half of 2013 year decreases aggregate amount paid unemployment benefits. “According to the latest data, the value of the allowances paid in February. Also decreased. The change was small, but crucial information is maintaining the previously observed trends. This figure is derived from the number of unemployed and the percentage entitled to receive benefits. Be aware to be aware that of the approximately 1 million 600 thousand registered unemployed, more than 1 million 300 thousand persons not entitled to unemployment benefit “- wrote.
decreased number of unemployed young people
BIEC stressed, referring to the structure of the unemployed decreased the number of unemployed young people and those over 50 years of age, as well as the long-term unemployed has decreased the number of unemployed dismissed for reasons attributable to the employer.
According to BIEC the overall business climate in the manufacturing sector in March was evaluated positively assess again improved on a monthly basis, but in recent months, these changes are relatively small. Likewise also improved assessment of the overall economic situation. As a result, slightly outweighed the percentage of companies planning to increase employment over those predicting decline in the number of employees.
Exemptions promise small companies
Exemptions predict mainly the small (up to 49 employees ), while medium-sized and large companies predict an increase in the number of employees. In terms of industry the biggest positive changes are planned by the manufacturers of other transport equipment, as well as to a large extent by manufacturers of paper and paper products, manufacturers of chemicals and chemical products, manufacturers of rubber and plastic, manufacturers of electrical appliances, and manufacturers of motor vehicles, trailers and semitrailers, excluding motorcycles.
Headcount reductions herald mainly clothing manufacturers and manufacturers of leather and leather products he gave for.
As explained BIEC, most of the increase in value of the index, and thus the deterioration of the labor market and unemployment rate interacted variables describing the number of unemployed who have taken employment and the number of jobs led to labor offices.
PAP, Celebrating
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